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Should we be concerned about thyroid cancer in patients taking glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists?

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References

STUDIES OF GLP-1 AGONISTS IN HUMANS

Several prospective clinical studies showed no increase in calcitonin levels during therapy with GLP-1 receptor agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes.3,11 Long-term use of liraglutide in high doses (up to 3 mg per day) did not lead to elevations in serum calcitonin levels.11

In a retrospective Adverse Event Reporting System database review, the incidence rate of thyroid cancer in patients treated with exenatide was higher—with an odds ratio of 4.7 (30 events)—than with a panel of control drugs (3 events).12 However, this study did not differentiate between types of thyroid cancer, and the inherent limitations of retrospective databases complicate its interpretation. Such a high odds ratio would imply a significant increase in the incidence of medullary thyroid cancer, but this does not seem to be true.

These studies are hypothesis-generating and do not prove that GLP-1 receptor agonists cause medullary thyroid cancer

Alves et al13 performed a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials and long-term observational studies. None of the studies evaluating exenatide reported cases of thyroid cancer, whereas five of the studies evaluating liraglutide did. In total, nine patients treated with liraglutide were diagnosed with thyroid cancer, compared with one patient on glimepiride. The odds ratio for thyroid cancer occurrence associated with liraglutide treatment was 1.54, but that was not statistically significant (95% confidence interval 0.40–6.02, P = .53, I2 = 0%).

These studies are hypothesis-generating and do not prove that GLP-1 receptor agonists cause medullary thyroid cancer. Given the extremely low incidence of medullary thyroid cancer, to prove or disprove a causal relationship would require an enormous number of patients, who would need to be followed for several years.

OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONS

Considerable differences in the biology of the rodent vs human thyroid GLP-1 receptor systems have led regulatory authorities to conclude that the risk for development of medullary thyroid cancer with GLP-1 therapy in humans is difficult to quantify, but low.14 Consequently, the US Food and Drug Administration recommends neither monitoring of calcitonin levels nor ultrasound imaging as a screening tool in patients taking GLP-1 agonists.14

BENEFITS OUTWEIGH RISKS

At present, the benefits of using GLP-1 receptor agonists to treat type 2 diabetes mellitus outweigh the risks, and there seems to be little reason to withhold this effective therapy except in patients who have a personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer or MEN-2. Until the effects of GLP-1 agonists are systematically studied in follicular-cell-derived thyroid cancer, we also recommend caution when considering their use in patients with familial thyroid cancer and those with a genetic predisposition for papillary and follicular thyroid cancer—eg, patients with familial adenomatous polyposis, phosphate and tensin homolog hamartoma tumor syndrome, Carney complex type 1, Werner syndrome, or familial papillary thyroid cancer.

Methodologically superior studies and careful long-term monitoring of patients treated with GLP-1 agonists are required to clarify the risk vs benefit of these therapies.

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