Original Research

On Track to Professorship? A Bibliometric Analysis of Early Scholarly Output

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References

The faculty member was assessed for publication of any “blockbuster” research, defined as a paper that had been cited at least 50 times between publication date and present day.

Last, to assess trends, we compared our output metrics for nonclinical professors ABOS-certified before 1990 versus after 1995. Significance was set at P < .006 using a conservative Bonferroni correction. Scatter plots were generated for total publications, citations, and h-index versus time since ABOS certification. Stata Statistical Software Release 11 (StataCorp) was used to analyze the data.

Results

Of the 108 professors identified, 88 did not have a clinical designation. Within this nonclinical group, median number of total publications and total citations 5 years after ABOS certification were 11.5 (mean, 15.4; SD, 12.3) and 33.5 (mean, 87.5; SD, 130.4), respectively. This group had a median h-index of 3 (mean, 3.9; SD, 3.1). Median number of papers published in CORR and JBJS was 4 (mean, 6.2; SD, 6.2). Median number of papers cited at least 50 times was 2 (mean, 3.2; SD, 4.0). A complete bibliometric summary is detailed in Tables 1 and 2.

Mean certification year was 1989 (range, 1968-2005; SD, 9.1 years). T tests revealed that total publications, first-author publications, last-author publications, middle-author publications, total citations, and h­-indexes were higher (Ps < .001-.004) for those certified after 1995 (n = 30) than for those certified before 1990 (n = 39) (Table 3). Scatter plots suggested that early total publications, citations, and h-indexes were increasing over time (Figure).

Discussion

Publication in the medical literature is an indication of academic productivity. However, there are no data establishing early-career productivity milestones. These data would interest young faculty members aspiring to attain professor status. We conducted the present study to describe the early academic productivity of current professors of orthopedic surgery at elite medical schools.

This study had several limitations. First, using bibliometric analysis to measure merit is admittedly crude, as it fails to capture contributions in nonacademic domains. For some faculty members, achievement in nonclinical areas may be substantial, and indeed the reason for their promotion. Second, the method used here tends to emphasize quantity over quality. Although we attempted to compensate for this bias—by reporting total citations, h-indexes, and numbers of CORR, JBJS, and blockbuster publications—we could not remove it completely. Third, choice of schools was arbitrary. Fourth, the sample included only those who attained professor rank; no data are available for orthopedic surgeons who were once assistant or associate professors and were not promoted further. Thus, even if number of publications was the sole criterion for promotion, no statement can be made about the likelihood of promotion given a certain number. Meaningful inferences about a candidate’s chance for promotion (assuming that the standards have not changed) can be made only with complete data, including “failures.”

Despite its limitations, this study provided novel information that can be useful to junior faculty members. Our cohort of orthopedic surgery professors at a select group of schools published 11 papers by year 5 after ABOS certification. A faculty member was the first or last author of 7 of these papers, and 3 papers were published in CORR or JBJS. Each of the 11 papers was cited almost 30 times, and 2 of the 11 eventually received at least 50 citations each. Faculty members had an h-index of about 3 at the 5-year mark. As expected, those who were clinical professors were less academically productive (nevertheless, some had formidable achievements). As schools may have different criteria for various academic titles, it is not possible to generalize across all schools. Of particular importance is the wide range for all data categories, particularly at the low end—buttressing the idea that, at some schools, clinical or teaching work may be sufficient for promotion.

Younger professors demonstrated higher early output than their senior counterparts did, as evidenced by increases in publications of any authorship, citations, and h-indexes. However, number of publications in CORR and JBJS was stagnant, as was number of publications cited more than 50 times. These findings may parallel the proliferation of journals, publications, and citations since the digitization of scientific media. For example, number of orthopedic Medline articles nearly doubled over the period 2000–2010, from 29,471 to 55,074 per year; in addition, number of authors per JBJS article increased from 1.6 in 1949 to 5.1 in 2009.5 This inflationary landscape may impose higher expectations on young faculty members, and, though this report suggests that professor-worthy output is increasing, it makes no effort to predict future milestones.To be sure, the information presented here does not represent a complete assessment of a faculty member’s contribution. In addition, standards for promotion will be different in the future than they were in the past. Nevertheless, our study results provide the best available (though imperfect) benchmarks for professor-worthy early productivity.

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