‘Valuable Tool’
Guohua Li, MD, DrPH, professor of epidemiology and anesthesiology at Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health and Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons in New York City, commented on the findings for this news organization. He noted that the study is “rigorously designed and meticulously analyzed. The findings are of high validity and population health significance.”
The findings are comparable with what is seen in the United States and Canada, he said, where about 50% of terminally ill patients die at home or in hospice. However, palliative care outside of North America “varies greatly, and in many developing countries, [it] is still in its infancy.”
As a mortality risk prediction algorithm, “RESPECT seems to perform reasonably well,” he said. “If incorporated into the electronic health record, it could be a valuable tool for clinicians to identify patients with less than 6 months of life expectancy and deliver palliative care to these patients. RESPECT appears to be particularly beneficial for home care patients without a clinically diagnosed terminal disease.”
That said, he added, “RESPECT should be viewed as a clinical decision support tool. It is no substitute for clinicians or clinical judgment. Based on the data presented in the paper, the algorithm tends to overestimate the short-term mortality risk for home care patients, therefore resulting in many false alarms.”
The study was supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and the Associated Medical Services. Dr. Hsu is an executive lead on the steering committee of the Ontario Centres for Learning, Research, and Innovation in Long-Term Care. Funding for the centers comes from the Ontario Ministry of Health and Ministry of Long-Term Care and is partially administered by the Bruyère Research Institute. Dr. Li reported no relevant financial interests.
A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.