Original Research

Population Management of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

With the enormous burden of NAFLD on the rise, quality care for patients warrants resource-adaptive population health management strategies.

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References

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is an umbrella term that covers a spectrum of phenotypes ranging from nonalcoholic fatty liver or simple hepatic steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) defined by histologic findings of steatosis, lobular inflammation, cytologic ballooning, and some degree of fibrosis.1 While frequently observed in patients with at least 1 risk factor (eg, obesity, diabetes mellitus [DM], dyslipidemia, hypertension), NAFLD also is an independent risk factor for type 2 DM (T2DM), chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease.2 At early disease stages with absence of liver fibrosis, mortality is linked to cardiovascular and not liver disease. However, in the presence of NASH, fibrosis progression to liver cirrhosis, or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represent the most important liver-related outcomes that determine morbidity and mortality.3 Mirroring the obesity and T2DM epidemics, the health care burden is projected to dramatically rise.

In the following article, we will discuss how the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) is well positioned to implement an organizational strategy of comprehensive care for veterans with NAFLD. This comprehensive care strategy should include the development of a NAFLD clinic offering care for comorbid conditions frequently present in these patients, point-of-care testing, access to clinical trials, and outcomes monitoring as a key performance target for providers and the respective facility.

NAFLD disease burden

To fully appreciate the burden of a chronic disease like NAFLD, it is important to assess its long- and short-term consequences in a comprehensive manner with regard to its clinical impact, impact on the patient, and economic impact (Figure 1).

Clinical Impact

Clinical impact is assessed based on the prevalence and natural history of NAFLD and the liver fibrosis stage and determines patient survival. Coinciding with the epidemic of obesity and T2DM, the prevalence of NAFLD in the general population in North America is 24% and even higher with older age and higher body mass index (BMI).4,5 The prevalence for NAFLD is particularly high in patients with T2DM (47%). Of patients with T2DM and NAFLD, 65% have biopsy-proven NASH of which 15% have bridging fibrosis or liver cirrhosis.6

NAFLD is the fastest growing cause of cirrhosis in the US with a forecasted NAFLD population of 101 million by 2030.7 At the same time, the number of patients with NASH will rise to 27 million of which > 7 million will have bridging fibrosis or liver cirrhosis; hepatic decompensation events are estimated to occur in 105,430 patients with liver cirrhosis, posing a major public health threat related to organ availability for liver transplantation.8 Since 2013, NAFLD has been the second leading cause for liver transplantation and the top reason for transplantation in patients aged < 50 years.9,10 As many patients with NAFLD are diagnosed with HCC at stages where liver transplantation is not an option, mortality from HCC in NAFLD patients is higher than with other etiologies as treatment options are restricted.11,12

Compared with that of the general population, veterans seeking care are older and sicker with 43% of veterans taking > 5 prescribed medications.13 Of those receiving VHA care, 6.6 million veterans are either overweight or obese; 165,000 are morbidly obese with a BMI > 40.14 In addition, veterans are 2.5 times more likely to have T2DM compared with that of nonveterans. Because T2DM and obesity are the most common risk factors for NAFLD, it is not surprising that NAFLD prevalence among veterans rose 3-fold from 2003 to 2011.15 It is now estimated that 540,000 veterans will progress to NASH and 108,000 will develop bridging fibrosis or liver cirrhosis by 2030.8 Similar to that of the general population, liver cirrhosis is attributed to NAFLD in 15% of veterans.15,16 NAFLD is the third most common cause of cirrhosis and HCC, occurring at an average age of 66 years and 70 years, respectively.16,17 Shockingly, 20% of HCCs were not linked to liver cirrhosis and escaped recommended HCC screening for patients with cirrhosis.18,19

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