Lisa Glass is a Staff Physician, and Grace Su is Chief of Gastroenterology and Associate Chief of Medicine, both at VA Ann Arbor Healthcare System. Christine Hunt is a Physician Affiliate and Director of the Cooperative Studies Program Epidemiology Centers at Durham VAMC in North Carolina. Michael Fuchs is Chief of Hepatology and Liver Transplantation at Hunter Holmes McGuire VAMC. Christine Hunt is an Adjunct Associate Professor of Medicine at Duke University Medical Center in Durham. Lisa Glass is an Assistant Professor and Grace Su is a Professor of Medicine, both at the University of Michigan Medical School in Ann Arbor. Michael Fuchs is Professor of Medicine at Virginia Commonwealth University in Richmond. Correspondence: Lisa Glass (lisaglas@med.umich.edu)
Author disclosures The authors report no actual or potential conflicts of interest with regard to this article.
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Given the association between features of MetS and NAFLD, it is not surprising that the primary cause of death in patients with NAFLD is related to CVD.21,22,31 However, it is increasingly recognized that NAFLD predicts CVD independently of the traditional risk factors associated with MetS. The increase in cardiovascular risk in the setting of NAFLD can be partly explained by the increased hepatic de novo lipogenesis that is associated with increased production of highly atherogenic small dense low-density lipoproteins (sd-LDL) independent of BMI and presence of insulin resistance.32 Additionally, increased intracellular free fatty acids can activate proinflammatory cytokine production by hepatocytes in addition to the increase in systemic inflammatory mediators and oxidative stress associated with NASH.
A recent meta-analysis of 27 studies confirmed the association between NAFLD and many subclinical features of CVD, including increases in coronary-artery calcium score, carotid artery intimal media thickness, and arterial wall stiffness, as well as impaired flow-mediated vasodilation after controlling for classic CVD risk factors.33 The risk of subclinical carotid and coronary atherosclerosis progression was higher in NAFLD patients with evidence of advanced fibrosis using noninvasive measures. Additionally, NAFLD was associated with increased severity of coronary artery disease in > 600 patients undergoing cardiac angiograms.34 Conversely, the regression of NAFLD on ultrasound was associated with a decreased risk of carotid atherosclerosis progression.35
Multiple epidemiologic studies have found an increased incidence of clinically overt CVD in patients with NAFLD after controlling for confounders. The largest updated meta-analysis, which included more than 34,000 patients with 2,600 CVD outcomes over a median of 6.9 years found that the presence of NAFLD (based on imaging or biopsy) was associated with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.64 (95% CI, 1.26-2.13) for fatal and nonfatal incident CVD.36 In the same meta-analysis, patients with NASH, with or without fibrosis, were at an even higher risk, with an OR of 2.58 (95% CI, 1.78-3.75).
Initial studies of statin medications for the treatment of NASH using surrogate endpoints like improvement in aminotransferases or imaging, suggested a potential liver-related benefit. However, there was no histologic improvement in the single study comparing 12 months of simvastatin therapy with placebo in patients with NASH.37 Although it is unclear whether statin use will directly improve NAFLD, there is no evidence to suggest that statin use should be avoided in patients with elevated CVD risk.38 Treatment with atorvastatin has been shown to be associated with a greater reduction in cardiovascular events in patients with NAFLD compared with that of patients without NAFLD.39
The strong association between CVD and NAFLD has important clinical implications that may influence the decision to initiate treatment for primary prevention, including lipid-lowering, antihypertensive, or antiplatelet therapies. The clinical algorithms currently used to help risk stratify patients and determine appropriate preventative strategies, the Framingham risk equation or the systemic coronary risk evaluation, do not incorporate NAFLD as a potential risk factor for CVD. Additional studies are needed to determine whether adding NAFLD to the assessment will improve the predictive accuracy of future CVD events. Nevertheless, European clinical guidelines recommend performing a CVD risk assessment for patients with NAFLD.19