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Short-course TB therapy fails in three international trials

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True understanding remains elusive

Although the studies described here have established the capacity for large, multicenter trials across disease-endemic countries, the design and selection of future experimental regimens will need to incorporate a triage process that can mitigate risks while enabling the accelerated development of much-needed treatment-shortening therapies. The disconnect between the phase II data that motivated these trials and the phase III results reinforces the idea that small sample sizes limit the utility of short trials in predicting the success of treatment-shortening regimens.

As these three trials have confirmed, our understanding of the science underlying positive clinical outcomes remains rudimentary. It’s time to go back to basics.

Digby F. Warner, Ph.D., and Valerie Mizrahi, Ph.D., are in the molecular mycobacteriology research unit at the Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, Cape Town and in the department of clinical laboratory sciences at the University of Cape Town, both in South Africa. Dr. Warner reported receiving funding from the South African Medical Research Council, Medical Research Foundation South Africa, and Wellcome Trust. Dr. Mizrahi reported funding from the European & Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, the Wellcome Trust, and USAID. Dr. Mizrahi also serves on the scientific advisory committee of the Global Alliance for TB Drug Development, which supported Dr. Gillespie’s study. This comment is excerpted from an editorial by Dr. Warner and Dr. Mizrahi that accompanied the three reports (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014 Oct. 23 [doi:10.1056/NEJMe1410977]).


 

References

The primary efficacy endpoint, the percentage of patients with an unfavorable outcome after 24 months, was 17.2% in the control group and 21.0% in the experimental group, a significant difference. In particular, more than twice as many patients in the experimental group (14.6%) had a relapse than in the control group (7.1%). As with Dr. Gillespie’s study, Dr. Merle’s study failed to show that the short-course regimen was noninferior to the standard regimen. Again, “the expectations raised by [phase I and II trials] were not borne out in this phase III trial,” they said (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014 Oct. 23 [doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1315817]).

The third trial, involving 827 patients in South Africa, Zimbabwe, Botswana, and Zambia, compared the standard control regimen against a 4-month regimen in which isoniazid was replaced by moxifloxacin and a 6-month regimen in which isoniazid was replaced by moxifloxacin, said Dr. Amina Jindani of St. George’s University of London and University College London and her associates.

In the per-protocol analysis, unfavorable outcomes occurred in 4.9% of the control group and 3.2% of the 6-month experimental group, compared with 18.2% of the short-course experimental group. The corresponding figures for the intention-to-treat analysis were 14.4%, 13.7%, and 26.9%, respectively.

Again, this discrepancy was attributed primarily to the significantly higher relapse rate in the short-course, compared with the control treatments – 26 cases with 4 months of treatment vs. 5 cases each with 6 months, Dr. Jindani and her associates said (N. Engl. J. Med. 2014 Oct. 23 [doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1314210]).

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